Key Comments from James Hewitt on the
Forest Study : September 2004
|
Key Comments from James Hewitt (quite a few of the comments were general observations and not
directly related to trade liberalisation; these have not been answered to) |
Response |
|
Unnecessary details in
tables |
OK. Tables have been
simplified and numbers have been rounded either to the closest million,
hundred thousand or to a percentage. |
|
Inconsistency in the use of
tables |
OK. We agree that it would
be good to always have the best data to allow consistent comparisons, but it
is simply not always possible because of lack of easily accessible data. The
study uses both changes in the volume and value as an indicator for changes
in trade in forest products, which is a common practice for any product. |
|
Proposal to separate
plantation wood and wood from natural forests, and avoid treating natural
forest and plantation forests as “substitutes” |
OK. However, the study does
not equate plantation forests and natural forests. The Inception Report (IR)
discussed the differences between plantations and natural forests e.g. in
terms of biodiversity. Similar clarifications have been added to the revised
MTR. However, forest plantations are classified as forests and are part of
forest cover according to the FAO definitions. |
|
Report is too long and
lacks focus; message gets lost. |
OK. The main text of the
MTR is 75 pages including the case studies. The final report will have only
summary conclusions from case studies in the text, which should make the
report more concise (max 40 p.) and focused. The MTR “discusses” some
findings because there are not always clear answers. |
|
A number of statements
appear to have been planted in the text – perhaps to meet the wishes of
parties keen either to distance the logging industry from blame for
deforestation or to promote fast-growing tree farms as a panacea. |
This comment would require
substantiation. The report does not take anyone’s side and does not promote
fast-growing plantations as a panacea. |
|
The report does not consider
that China's impact on trade in wood-based products from natural forest
warrants particular attention |
The draft MTR considers
China’s influence in several sections and contexts. China’s impact on natural
forests and trade flows within Asia (and recently even outside Asia) are
well-known. However, this study does not look at the impacts of China in
general on forest products trade and sustainability of forestry or what
impact China’s WTO membership may have. The focus is on analysing the
possible incremental impacts of
further trade liberalisation as part of Doha Round. |
|
The assumption that there
is a "North" and a "South" when considering trade in
forestry products is fundamentally misguided |
OK. The IR and MTR have
identified the same units/or groups as proposed in the comments, and does not
refer to North-South trade (or paradigm). However, South-to South trade is a
commonly used term, and we do not see any reason not to use the term. The
revised MTR clarifies what is meant by South-to-South trade (because it
involves also internal trade within a unit/group and also NIC countries as
well as developed countries in the South. |
|
Conversion forest"
aside, the single most important direct cause of deforestation in
"permanent forest" in the humid tropics is surely unsustainable
forestry |
IR and MTR make it clear
based on official statistics that the main direct causes of deforestation
vary depending on the country and regions. Available evidence does not
support the claim that the single most important direct cause of
deforestation is unsustainable forestry (unless this also includes clearing
of forest for agriculture). The revised MTR clarifies in a number of places,
that forest clearing associated with agricultural development is often linked
to prior commercial forest harvesting. The difficulty of attributing direct
causes of deforestation to a single factor was discussed in IR. |
|
Using trade flows measured
in units of import value as a proxy for roundwood equivalent volume can be
hugely misleading. |
Yes, it can be. In this
report this type of import/export information has been used “neutrally”
without drawing misleading conclusions. |
|
By stopping the clock in 2002, the authors
have been able to omit two important anti-dumping allegations which have
recently been upheld against China's exports |
We made use of a relatively
recent report that had information up to 2002. The two cases mentioned in the
comments have been added to MTR. |
|
The forest-based sector may
be the economic backbone of many communities - but only because the former
economic activities of these people have been displaced by plantations. If this paragraph (and some others) is
included without substantial revision, it would be reasonable to question the
objectivity of the report's authors and mislead decision makers |
The draft MTR just reports
that plantations and forest industry provide employment, and in Brazil and
many other countries play an important role in the local economies. In a
number of places it is mentioned that industrial expansion and related economic growth and increased employment
is not sustainable when based on unsustainable forest management. However,
one cannot assume that all plantation development is based on displacing
people. |
|
A large number of jobs that
are generated by the forestry industry are being lost as fast as new ones are
created - simply because logging companies here tend to operate on a cut and
run basis not sustainably. |
OK. See comment above. The
MTR already addresses this issues in the case of Indonesia. |
|
It is quite wrong to hype
up the value of Indonesia's timber exports |
OK. The report does not
hype the value but just presents existing statistics. Otherwise, see comment
above |
|
There may be no reliable
information on Indonesia's illegal log exports per se but why focus only on
illegal logs? |
OK. The revised MTR expands
in a couple places illegal trade to concern also trade in forest products
produced using illegally harvested/traded wood. |
|
The text here is
inconsistent - the term forestry products is used elsewhere not forest
products |
The comment is not fully
understood. |
|
Contrary to the text,
Indonesia's fast growing pulpwood plantations are far from successful. |
The draft MTR does not
claim anywhere that Indonesia’s fast growing pulpwood plantations are a
success. The report says that Indonesia has good growing conditions and the
potential to establish and manage plantation successfully due available
research information and know-how |
|
The huge expansion in palm
oil acreage in Indonesia and Malaysia may cause a glut of palm oil on the
market and create unemployment in the palm oil and palm-oil substitute
industries |
OK, but more relevant for
the agriculture SIA. |
|
I recommend that one adds a
sentence indicating what progress there has been as a result of these
bilateral agreements |
OK, a sentence has been
added that it is too early to say what impacts these bilateral agreements
have had (they are too recent). |
|
The authors appear to
neglect or dismiss the potential for consumption to be driven by end-user
expectations |
OK, the bullet point is
clarified by referring to demand for certified wood. |
|
The authors appear to
believe that the declining natural forest resource base and rapidly
increasing concern about forest sector governance will have no impact on
tropical timber prices |
OK, a sentence has been
added about the possible impacts on prices of internalising the
externalities. |
|
The Democratic Republic of
Congo exports less timber than any other producer country in the Congo Basin. |
OK |